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An Accidental Brexit


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Table of Contents

1. Introduction

    Part I. The Referendum Process and Poltico-Economic Aspects

    2. Brexit: A Campaign and a Fatal Communication Disaster

    3. A Sequencing of the Economic Effects of Brexit

    Part II. UK, US and EU Perspectives

    4. Aspects of British History and Policy

    5. Key Issues for the New British Government

    6. Medium-term UK Macroeconomic Perspectives

    7. Brexit from a US Point of View

    8. Trump Policies Expected to Contradict 70 Years of American Principles and Rationale

    9. Can Brexit be an Economic Success and What Effects can be Expected for the EU27?

    Part III. EU Developments

    10. What is the EU? A Redistribution and Trade Engine with a Political Element

    11. The History of European Integration and the Role of Rules

    12. EU Integration Perspectives after Brexit

    13. Eurozone Perspectives and Reform Needs

    Part IV. Consequences

    14. A Second Brexit Referendum: A Scenario for Staying in the EU

    15. Beyond Brexit: Inequality Dynamics and A European Social Market Economy

    16. Conclusions

    About the Author

    Paul J.J. Welfens is Jean Monnet Professor for European Economic Integration, Chair for Macroeconomics at the Schumpeter School of Business and Economics, and President of the European Institute for International Economic Relations at the University of Wuppertal, Germany. He is Research Fellow at IZA, Germany, and Non-Resident Senior Research Fellow at AICGS/Johns Hopkins University, USA.

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