Preface1. Intelligence Analysis: What Is It-and What Does It Take?James B. Bruce and Roger Z. GeorgePart I: The Analytic Tradition2. The Evolution of Intelligence Analysis in the US Intelligence CommunityJohn H. Hedley3. The Track Record of CIA AnalysisRichard J. Kerr and Michael Warner4. Is Intelligence Analysis a Discipline?Rebecca Fisher, Rob Johnston, and Peter Clement Part II: The Policymaker-Analyst Relationship 5. Serving the National PolicymakerJohn McLaughlin6. The Policymaker's Perspective: Transparency and PartnershipJames B. Steinberg 7. Serving the Senior Military Consumer: A National Agency PerspectiveJohn Kringen Part III: Diagnosis and Prescription 8. Why Bad Things Happen to Good AnalystsJack Davis9. Making Intelligence Analysis More Reliable: Why Epistemology Matters to IntelligenceJames B. Bruce10. The Missing Link: The Analyst-Collector RelationshipJames B. Bruce Part IV: Enduring Challenges11. The Art of Intelligence and StrategyRoger Z. George12. Foreign Deception and Denial: Analytic ImperativesJames B. Bruce and Michael Bennett13. Warning in an Age of UncertaintyRoger Z. George and James J. Wirtz Part V: Analysis for Twenty-First-Century Issues14. Structured Analytic Techniques: A New Approach to AnalysisRandolph H. Pherson and Richards J. Heuer Jr.15. New Analytic Techniques for Tactical Military IntelligenceVincent Stewart, Drew E. Cukor, Joseph Larson III, and Matthew Pottinger16. Domestic Intelligence AnalysisMaureen Baginski Part VI: Leading Analytic Change17. Building a Community of AnalystsThomas Fingar18. The Education and Training of Intelligence AnalystsMark M. Lowenthal19. Analytic Outreach: Pathway to Expertise Building and ProfessionalizationSusan H. Nelson20. Conclusion: Professionalizing Intelligence Analysis in the Twenty-First CenturyRoger Z. George and James B. Bruce GlossaryContributorsIndex
The last dozen or more years are replete with significant successes and failures of intelligence analysis. These essays make a unique contribution to dissecting the factors behind both, as well as offering broader perspectives and insights on getting the analysis right, effectively serving decision makers, and preserving the integrity of the effort. The authors are superbly qualified and I believe their contributions to the craft of intelligence will be both useful and lasting. -- Robert M. Gates, former secretary of defense and former director of the CIA Analyzing Intelligence provides a superb and self-critical assessment of analyst roles in the collection, evaluation, and interpretation of information on the wide spectrum of issues germane to national security. All who work in and receive support from the intelligence community should read the outstanding essays in this collection. -- Mike McConnell, former director of national intelligence Roger George and James Bruce have produced, in this new edition of their classic volume, the best source for wisdom on modern intelligence analysis. With important contributions from superstars in the US profession, this new edition is a landmark signifying professionalization of the intelligence enterprise. It deserves a place on every serious student and practitioner's bookshelf. -- Jennifer Sims, senior fellow at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, former deputy assistant secretary of state for intelligence coordination, and co-editor of Vaults, Mirrors, and Masks: Rediscovering US Counterintelligence Analyzing Intelligence is an impressively broad, deep, and comprehensive survey of the nature, problems, and coping techniques of the craft. The contributors combine professional experience and intellectual acuity in an ideal way for making sense of the psychological, political, and bureaucratic context of intelligence work. The book serves as a handbook for government analysts at all stages of their careers, and an eye-opening explanation of the process for outside observers. No other does so as thoroughly. -- Richard K. Betts, Arnold A. Saltzman Professor of War and Peace Studies, Department of Political Science, Columbia University, and author of Enemies of Intelligence: Knowledge and Power in American National Security An indispensable guide to one of the most critical issues affecting intelligence and policy-making in the twenty-first century, successfully combining the lessons to be drawn from both first-hand experience and academic research. -- Christopher Andrew, faculty of history, Corpus Christi College, University of Cambridge, and author of Defend the Realm: The Authorized History of MI5
Roger Z. George is professor of national security strategy at the National War College and an adjunct professor at Georgetown University in the Security Studies Program. He was a career CIA intelligence analyst who served at the State and Defense departments and has been the national intelligence officer for Europe. He is coeditor of several volumes on intelligence and national security studies, most recently The National Security Enterprise: Navigating the Labyrinth. James B. Bruce is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation. A retired career intelligence analyst, he served with CIA's Directorate of Intelligence and Directorate of Operations, and with the National Intelligence Council as deputy national intelligence officer for science and technology. An adjunct professor at Georgetown University, he has taught previously at the National War College, and as an adjunct at Columbia University and American University.
Essential for practitioners and users of intelligence analysis, as well as for students and scholars in security studies and related fields. The Intelligencer A 'must' for any collection interested in the latest security changes and practices Midwest Book Review