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The Art of Conjecture
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About the Author

Bertrand de Jouvene (1903-1987) was a French philosopher, political economist, and futurist known for his many works in political philosophy. He taught at many universities, including Oxford, Cambridge, Yale, and the University of California. Unlike many other French intellectuals at the time, de Jouvenel acknowledged the early twentieth-century movement of economic theory and welfare economics that emerged in the United States, United Kingdom, Italy, and Austria. His many books include The Pure Theory of Politics and The Ethics of Redistribution. Daniel J. Mahoney is chair and professor of political science at Assumption College, Worcester, Massachusetts. He has been the recipient of the Prix Raymond Aron, is currently associate editor of Perspectives on Political Science, and book review editor of Society. His books include The Liberal Political Science of Raymond Aron, Bertrand de Jouvenel: The Conservative Liberal and the Illusions of Modernity and De Gaulle: Statesmanship, Grandeur, and Modern Democracy.

Reviews

"Philosophers are accustomed to arguing about prediction in the social sciences as if the question were au fond one about free will. It is therefore arresting to meet, in M. de Jouvenel, an author for whom conjecture about human affairs seems a necessary form of activity if only to ensure that we retain our freedom of action, in a world where social change is accelerating."--C. Blake, The Philosophical Quarterly"[I]n preaching the necessity for "futurists," de Jouvenal goes further than anyone else in discussing the future of ideas themselves."--Bertram M. Gross and Theodore J. Gross, American Sociological Review"A tremendously important work that will profoundly affect our thinking about the shape of things to come."--Daniel Bell, Harvard University


"Philosophers are accustomed to arguing about prediction in the social sciences as if the question were au fond one about free will. It is therefore arresting to meet, in M. de Jouvenel, an author for whom conjecture about human affairs seems a necessary form of activity if only to ensure that we retain our freedom of action, in a world where social change is accelerating." --C. Blake, The Philosophical Quarterly "[I]n preaching the necessity for "futurists," de Jouvenal goes further than anyone else in discussing the future of ideas themselves." --Bertram M. Gross and Theodore J. Gross, American Sociological Review "A tremendously important work that will profoundly affect our thinking about the shape of things to come." --Daniel Bell, Harvard University


"Philosophers are accustomed to arguing about prediction in the social sciences as if the question were au fond one about free will. It is therefore arresting to meet, in M. de Jouvenel, an author for whom conjecture about human affairs seems a necessary form of activity if only to ensure that we retain our freedom of action, in a world where social change is accelerating."

--C. Blake, The Philosophical Quarterly

"[I]n preaching the necessity for "futurists," de Jouvenal goes further than anyone else in discussing the future of ideas themselves."

--Bertram M. Gross and Theodore J. Gross, American Sociological Review

"A tremendously important work that will profoundly affect our thinking about the shape of things to come." --Daniel Bell, Harvard University

-Philosophers are accustomed to arguing about prediction in the social sciences as if the question were au fond one about free will. It is therefore arresting to meet, in M. de Jouvenel, an author for whom conjecture about human affairs seems a necessary form of activity if only to ensure that we retain our freedom of action, in a world where social change is accelerating.-

--C. Blake, The Philosophical Quarterly

-[I]n preaching the necessity for -futurists,- de Jouvenal goes further than anyone else in discussing the future of ideas themselves.-

--Bertram M. Gross and Theodore J. Gross, American Sociological Review

-A tremendously important work that will profoundly affect our thinking about the shape of things to come.- --Daniel Bell, Harvard University

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