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The Catastrophe Ahead


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The result of an intensive two-year research study, this volume examines the likely course of the AIDS epidemic over the next fifteen years. Extremely well-documented and based largely on sophisticated statistical analysis, the study makes detailed forecasts of who will become sick; explores the social, political, and economic consequences of the spread of this disease; and analyzes the controversial policy choices that must be made if the epidemic is to be contained.

Table of Contents

Foreword by G.A. Keyworth, II The Catastrophe Ahead and the Case for a New Public Policy The HIV Epidemic: Facts and Uncertainties How Big is the HIV Epidemic? Sexual behavior and the spread of HIV HIV and Drug Abuse Will Medicine Stop AIDS? AIDS in the Year 2000 AIDS and American Society--The Confrontations of the 1990s AIDS and the American Economy Containing the Catastrophe: A Final Word on Testing Appendix: A Model for Forecasting the Future of AIDS Selected Bibliography Index

About the Author

WILLIAM B. JOHNSTON is Vice President for Special Projects and Senior Research Fellow at Hudson Institute.

KEVIN R. HOPKINS is an Adjunct Fellow at Hudson Institute and a former senior policy consultant to the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy.

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