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China Tomorrow


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The Chinese Political Regime's Future: A Resurgent Debate 1 China's Current Political System: A Strong, Sustainable, Authoritarian Equilibrium 2 Bureaucratic Tradition and the Soviet Model: Patterns of State Hegemony 3 Democratic Culture: Repressed, Fragile, and Distorted 4 Civil Society: Leashed by the Party-State 5 The Role of Elites: Shaping Political Evolution 6 China's Future: Toward an Authoritarian and Imperial Political System A Regime on Extended Reprieve About the Author

About the Author

Jean-Pierre Cabestan is professor of political science at Hong Kong Baptist University. He is also senior research fellow in France's National Center for Scientific Research.


Cabestan has used his long scholarly engagement with China and wide reading to describe the remarkable hybridity of the Communist Party and the ways that this operates as a source of strength and flexibility. This is a nuanced and focused corrective to the more apocalyptic work on China's future-one that shows that while beset by challenges, the party's keen sense of survival and its use of opacity and control means it is likely to be the only viable game in town for some time yet. -- Kerry Brown, King's College London
In this impressively well-informed book, Cabestan presents a comprehensive analysis of China's political system, its history and culture, and its policies and achievements. He argues convincingly that even though the Chinese system is beset with difficulties, it is too strong to collapse for a long time to come. And even when the current system does finally weaken, it is likely to remain authoritarian and resistant to Western influence, only less orderly and more dangerous than it is today. This is a valuable contribution to our understanding of China today and our ability to understand its probable future. -- Andrew J. Nathan, Columbia University
Don't be misled by the question mark: China tomorrow-and for the next decade at least-will remain dictatorial. Most Chinese are grateful to the regime that relieved them from poverty. Far beyond this commonsense remark, Cabestan's comprehensive analysis of factors such as democratic values, civil society, and the role of elites takes care to give full weight to every conceivable objection before concluding in favor of the party-state's resilience. For such an audacious synthesis dealing with the future to be convincing is both wonderful and unfortunate: Cabestan himself would prefer to be proven wrong. -- Lucien Bianco, Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales

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