|Other Retailer||Price Checked Time||Their Price in AUD||Our Price|
|Amazon UK||2 days ago||90.06||$71.33||You save $18.73|
|Book Depository US||5 days ago||88.31||$71.33||You save $16.98|
|Amazon US||22 days ago||83.94||$71.33||You save $12.61|
Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment; 8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you know; Index.
'This book is a significant contribution to the exploration of the basic issues and constitutes an important addition to the technical literature addressing uncertainty.' Joseph Fragola, IEEE Spectrum 'Uncertainty is a risk analysis textbook ... written to serve as a basic text for students as well as a reference work for practitioners and researchers (it) succeeds both in providing an excellent basis for policy analysis and in drawing upon a variety of case studies that will be of interest to risk researchers.' Journal of Economic Literature