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Wake Up!


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Table of Contents

Introduction - Protect Your Business and Investments 1 The time for action is now! 4 It is going to happen and within this decade 5 Part One - Global Tensions 9 Global population growth 12 An aging population in the Rich World 15 The environmental consequences of our 'footprint' on earth 18 Increasing divide between rich and poor 34 Part Two - The Global Economy is Under Threat 55 The general outlook 57 Economic theories 58 The pension theories 58 The pension burden 73 Warren Buffet, the Sage of Omaha, is bearish! Take heed 76 Financial instruments of mass destruction 78 United States' economic situation 80 China the global player 102 Japan - a long deflation and decline 115 Eurosclerosis - the trouble with the old world 119 Part Three - Geopolitics 127 US foreign policy 129 Superpower contenders 136 Terrorism 151 Rogue states and weapons of mass destruction 161 Part Four - Lessons From History 175 Past wars and conflicts 178 Moving on from war - other lessons from the past 198 Examples of filed nations and empires - more lessons from a dismal history 206 Part Five - Financial Survival Guide 213 Preserving your wealth in the coming economic turmoil 215 Money - a brief history 216 The essentials 218 Diversification is key to financial longevity 232 Outstanding liabilities 239 More sophisticated/adventurous investors 240 Business owners 241 Don't be a victim 242 Other useful information 246 Part Six - Timeframe and Summary 255 The uncertain future 257 Summary 264 Appendix A - Budgeting Template 275 Appendix B - Being Prepared for a Worst Case Scenario 277 References 281 Notes 283 Index 287

About the Author

Jim Mellon is an investor with a twenty-year background in fund management. He is the founder of several companies and remains the principal shareholder of Charlemagne Capital, the leading emerging market asset manager. He lives in the Isle of Man and in Spain. He has a Masters Degree in Philosophy, Politics and Economics from Oxford University and is an Honorary Fellow of Oriel College, Oxford. He is a recognized expert in development economics. Al Chalabi is an entrepreneur who has been based in Asia for eight years and has extensive experience of developing economies. He has a bachelor?s degree in engineering and a Masters in Business Administration. He consults widely for multinational corporations on strategy, particularly in relation to technology. Originally from Iraq, Al grew up in the UK after his family moved there when he was a young child. Al has also lived in Canada, France and the United States and currently lives in Hong Kong.


"...a well-written, well-argued book, well worth buying for Christmas" (What Investment, Nov 05) "...the real value of this book is that is should alert people and leaders..." (Money Matters, July 2006)

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