Table of Contents

Chapter One: Introduction: Defense Planning for the 21st Century Approach and Overview Chapter Two: Scenarios for Evaluating Future Needs and Capabilities A Generic Scenario for Force Planning Chapter Three: Competing Approaches to Theater Warfare Chapter Four: Assessing Future U.S. Capabilities for the Halt Phase Employing the Force: First Enable, Then Destroy Assessing a Single Operational Objective Rather Than a Theater Campaign Results of the Base Case Preliminary Judgments A More Likely Opponent Conclusion: Long-Range Firepower Can Rapidly Attrit Mechanized Forces Chapter Five: Priorities for Modernization: Ensuring A Robust Capability to Halt Invasions Defeating Enemy Aircraft Suppressing Surface-to-Air Defenses Gaining and Exploiting Information Rapidly Destroying Armor Chapter Six: Broader Implications for the Defense Program Paying for Needed Enhancements Concluding Observations Appendix: ASSESSMENT APPROACH AND METHODS - - Copyright (c) 1998 RAND