1. Introduction; Part I: Hazard Inputs; 2. Seismic Source Characterization; 3. Characterization of Earthquake Rates and Rupture Scenarios; 4. Empirical Ground-Motion Characterization; 5. Physics-Based Ground-Motion Characterization; Part II: Hazard Calculation; 6. PSHA Calculation; 7. PSHA Products; 8. Non-Ergodic Hazard Analysis; Part III: Risk; 9. Seismic Risk; 10. Ground-Motion Selection; 11. Spatially Distributed Systems; 12. Validations; Appendix A Basics of Probability; Appendix B Basics of Statistics for Model Calibration; References; List of Symbols; Notation Conventions; Index.
An overview of the essential principles of seismic hazard and risk analysis, including advanced topics, worked examples and problem sets.
Jack Wesley Baker is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Stanford University. His research focuses on the use of probabilistic and statistical tools for modeling of extreme loads on structures. He is the recipient of several awards, including: the Shah Family Innovation Prize from the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, the CAREER Award from the National Science Foundation, the Early Achievement Research Award from the International Association for Structural Safety and Reliability, the Walter L. Huber Prize from ASCE, the Helmut Krawinkler Award from the Structural Engineers Association of Northern California, and the Eugene L. Grant Award for excellence in teaching. Brendon Archie Bradley is a Professor in the Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering at the University of Canterbury, New Zealand. His areas of interest include engineering seismology, strong ground motion prediction, seismic response analysis of structural and geotechnical systems, and seismic performance and loss estimation methods. He has received several notable awards for work with collaborators, including the 2012 Ivan Skinner EQC award, the 2013 Royal Society of New Zealand Rutherford Discovery Fellowship, the 2014 Shamsher Prakash Foundation Research Award, the 2014 New Zealand Engineering Excellence Award for Young Engineer of the Year, the 2015 University of Canterbury Teaching Award, the 2015 TC203 Young Researcher Award, the 2015 EERI Shah Innovation Prize, the 2016 ASCE Norman Medal, the 2016 New Zealand Prime Minister's Emerging Scientist Prize, and the 2019 New Zealand Geotechnical Society Geomechanics Award. Peter James Stafford is a Reader in Engineering Seismology and Earthquake Engineering at the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College, London. Although his research interests are primarily in the areas of Engineering Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, he also has professional consulting experience as both a structural and geotechnical engineer. A lot of Dr Stafford's research is influenced by problems encountered in real-world probabilistic seismic hazard and risk analyses for critical infrastructure related to nuclear and hydro-electric power generation and gas extraction. He also has significant experience with the reinsurance sector and providing inputs to the development of portfolio loss models.
'An enormously valuable contribution, which teachers and students
of seismic hazard analysis have been crying out for. Baker, Bradley
and Stafford have produced a clear and comprehensive textbook for
students, practitioners and end-users that I predict will lead to a
significant and lasting improvement in the state-of-practice over
the coming years.' Dr Julian J Bommer, Seismic Hazard and Risk
Consultant
'Seismic hazard and risk analysis has become so complex as to be
regarded by many as an opaque, mysterious topic only to be
understood by a small group of specialists. With this book, the
veil has been lifted. It should be on the shelves of all serious
students, practitioners, and researchers in the areas of seismic
hazard analysis, earthquake engineering, and risk analysis.'
Professor Steve Kramer, University of Washington
'The authors' profound knowledge and understanding of the
interdisciplinary fields used in seismic hazard and risk analysis,
and their own remarkable contributions to it, have yielded a
comprehensive foundation for its more uniform, rigorous and
advanced practice worldwide.' Dr Paul Somerville, AECOM, Los
Angeles
'The authors of this valuable new tome are all accomplished
professors, and their experience in teaching these subjects is
apparent in the structure and organization of the book—each chapter
beginning with an opening statement and a list of learning
objectives. Each chapter also concludes with some expertly designed
exercises, which serve to illustrate the practical application of
concepts presented in the chapter and to bring to life the lessons
learnt through connection to the stated learning objectives … I
sincerely hope that the tremendous contribution that Baker,
Bradley, and Stafford have made through writing their outstanding
book on Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis will be widely
disseminated and studied, because it will be a powerful device to
improve the state of practice in these fields.' Julian J. Bommer,
Seismological Research Letters
'A very timely and important contribution to the earth science and
earthquake engineering professions. Given the general applicability
of many of the concepts it presents, it should be of great use to
readers involved with other natural hazards as well. The book
contains a tremendous wealth of information all presented and
supported in a rigorous and detailed manner. Writing the first book
on a particular topic requires many difficult decisions about
scope, content, and organization, and the authors have succeeded
admirably in simultaneously providing breadth and depth with
respect to both hazards and risk.' Steven L. Kramer, Earthquake
Spectra
'[an] inherently readable and informative textbook on the subject.
Concepts are clearly explained, and advanced mathematics is kept in
the background (the appendixes pertain) so readers will not get
bogged down while trying to understand the important ideas.
Numerous figures and tables support the text, all expertly
presented … The authors provide an accompanying website to
supplement the material in the book and extend readers' learning
experience. There could not be a better purchase for learning about
seismic hazards and how to assess them at any price … Highly
recommended.' M. S. Field, Choice Connect
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