Contents Introduction who needs this
book? Preface to the second edition Acknowledgements
Conventions Executive summaryPart A DEVELOPING FINANCIAL MODELS 1
Overview Introduction What is financial modelling?History of
spreadsheets Power of spreadsheets Objectives for the book Example
spreadsheetSummary 2 Design introduction IntroductionBasics of
designObjectivesUser interface Key variables and rules
LayoutIndividual modules Menu structure and macrosManagement
reporting Future developmentTestingProtection Documentation Peer
group commentsSummary 3 Features and
techniquesIntroductionFormatsNumber formatLines and borders Colours
and patterns Specific colours for inputs and resultsData validation
Controls combo boxes and buttonsConditional formatting Use of
functions and types of functionAdd-ins for more functions Text and
updated labelsRecord a version number, author, etc. Use names to
make formulas easier to understandPaste names as part of
documentation Comment cells Graphics Dynamic graphs to plot
individual seriesData tablesScenarios Goal seek Solver Use of
templates Summary 4 Sample modelIntroductionAims and objectives
User needs and user interface Key variables and rules Breaking down
the calculations into manageable groupsSetting up individual
modules Menu structure Program sheets and macrosUser assistance
SummariesRisk and multiple answers Testing and troubleshooting
Protecting and securing Help and documentation Show to peers take
their adviceControl loop listen, learn and modifySummary 5 Example
modelIntroductionCase study DesignPPP 1PPP 2PPP 3 PPP 4PPP
5Documenting, testing and protecting PPP 6Summary Part B
APPLICATIONS 6 Analysing performance IntroductionProfit and loss
Balance sheet RatiosTrend analysisSustainabilitySummary 7 Cash flow
Deriving cash flow Net operating cash flow (NOCF) Free cash flow
Cover ratios International cash flow Summary 8 Forecasting models
IntroductionHistoric forecasts Trend lines Trend lines for
analysisData smoothingCyclicality and seasonalitySummary 9
Forecasting financialsIntroductionKey driversDeriving financial
statementsAlternative approachesFinancial analysisSummary 10
Variance analysis IntroductionCash flow budgetsMonthly cash
model'Flash' report and graphics Summary 11 Breakeven
analysisIntroductionBreakevenOperating leverage Financial leverage
Combined leverage Summary 12 Portfolio analysis
IntroductionFormulas Optimum portfolio 13 Cost of capital
IntroductionCapital Asset Pricing Model Dividend growth modelCost
of preference sharesCost of debt Weighted average cost of
capitalMarginal WACCSummary 14 Bonds IntroductionCash flows Yield
measuresDurationPortfolio resultsSummary 15 Investment
analysisIntroductionInvestment model revisitedPayback
periodAccounting returnNet present value Internal rate of
returnBenefit/cost ratio Management tests cash flow, etc. Scenarios
Sensitivity analysis and chartsCapital rationingSummary 16
Risk AnalysisIntroductionRisk assessment process and
analysisRisk adjusted rate  iation Coefficient of
variationCertainty equivalentsReal optionsSimulation Summary 17
DepreciationIntroductionStraight line Sum of digits Declining
balanceUS MACRS AmortisationComparisonSummary 18 Leasing
IntroductionRental calculationsLease versus purchase Classification
AccountingSettlementsSummary 19 Company valuation
IntroductionAccounts Adjusted accounting value Dividends Stock
market or market methodFree cash flows Summary 20 Optimisation
IntroductionElements of optimisation modelsLinear programmingMargin
maximisationPensions Summary 21 Decision trees IntroductionBayes'
theorem TerminologyDecision tree modelInformation exampleSummary 22
Risk management IntroductionForward rate agreementsSwapsForeign
exchange FuturesOptionsBlack-ScholesSummary 23 Data functions
IntroductionDatasetDatabase functions Descriptive statistics
Histogram Function output Box plots Summary 24 Data
analysisIntroductionImported data Sort Filter Subtotals Pivot table
and chart Database importRadar chart Gauge chart Summary 25
Modelling checklist IntroductionDesign summary Features Techniques
AppendicesAppendix 1: Software installationAppendix 2: Licence
Appendix 3: File list Appendix 4: Microsoft Office 2007 (Office
12)Bibliography and referencesIndex
Alastair Day has worked in the finance industry for 20 years in treasury and marketing functions. He is an associate lecturer in corporate finance with the OUBS, and other publications include books such as The Financial Director's Guide to Purchasing Leasing.
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