Preface; Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?; 2. The study of thinking; 3. Rationality; 4. Logic; Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability; 6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment; 7. Hypothesis testing; 8. Judgment of correlation and contingency; 9. Actively open-minded thinking (AOT); Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Choice under uncertainty: normative theory; 11. Choice under uncertainty: descriptive theory; 12. Risk; 13. Choice under certainty; 14. Utility measurement; 15. Decision analysis and values; 16. Quantitative judgment; 17. Moral judgment and choice; 18. Fairness and justice; 19. Social dilemmas: cooperation v. defection; 20. Decisions about the future; Index.
A thorough introduction to the basic principles of judgments and decisions, emphasizing explanations over simple review of facts.
Jonathan Baron has a BA in Psychology from Harvard and a PhD in Experimental Psychology from the University of Michigan, USA. He has published over 200 papers and several books, including Rationality and Intelligence (1985), Morality and Rational Choice (1993), Judgment Misguided (1998), and Against Bioethics (2006). From 1974 to 2013, he taught at the University of Pennsylvania, USA, where he advised 32 PhD students. He is a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the Psychonomic Society, and the Society of Experimental Psychologists (among other groups). He is founding editor and current co-editor of Judgment and Decision Making (2006).
'This is the definitive textbook on decision making, reflecting
Baron's unmatched combination of intellectual breadth and
precision. Grounded in fundamentals, this book integrates
seamlessly across disciplines and incorporates the most important
new ideas. It's an ideal introduction for students and a vital
reference for seasoned scholars - a remarkable achievement.' Joshua
Greene, Harvard University, USA
'Jon Baron's fifth edition of Thinking and Deciding provides an
update to his excellent and thoughtful integration of the decision
making literature, and what has evolved into the field of
behavioral economics. Baron is rigorous and insightful. The world
would be better off if more people read his comprehensive book.'
Max H. Bazerman, Harvard Business School, USA
'This clearly written and engaging book comprehensively reviews the
major theories and findings in the field of judgment and decision
making. It reminds me of all I have forgotten and all I haven't
learned. I will study it carefully to learn more about a field I
thought I knew well.' Paul Slovic, University of Oregon, USA
'Jon Baron has an encyclopedic command of judgment and decision
making literature. It is on full display in this remarkably
engaging overview of the field.' Barbara Mellers, University of
Pennsylvania, USA
'This book, by a leading researcher in the field, offers an
original perspective on the link between cognition and choice. In a
somewhat historical perspective, Baron reviews fundamental issues
in research on decision making, showing how old established
findings, as well as new ones fit within the same schemes.' Ilana
Ritov, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
'For 35 years, Thinking and Deciding has set the intellectual and
pedagogical standard for presenting a field that has grown
dramatically in importance since the first edition. The new edition
maintains these high standards. It is thorough, thoughtful,
insightful, clear, and comprehensive. It does not shy away from
discussing important issues about which there is disagreement. I
cannot imagine a better way to educate students - and their
teachers - than to have them read this book.' Barry Schwartz,
University of California, Berkeley, USA
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