Table of Contents

Preface; Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?; 2. The study of thinking; 3. Good thinking: the nature of rationality; 4. Logic; Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability; 6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment; 7. Hypothesis testing; 8. Judgment of correlation and contingency; 9. Actively open minded thinking; Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Normative theory of choice; 11. Description of choice under uncertainty; 12. Description of choice under certainty; 13. Utility measurement; 14. Decision analysis and values; 15. Quantitative judgment; 16. Moral thinking; 17. Fairness and justice; 18. Social dilemmas; 19. Decisions about the future; 20. Risk.

Promotional Information

Jonathan Baron has updated and expanded his classic textbook Thinking and Deciding.

Reviews

"Baron has taken on the task of examining in detail the full range and diversity of psychological research which helps him and us to understand the nature of thinking as he sees it, and to explore its application to teaching. It is a heroic effort, and thoroughly recommended." Times Higher Education Supplement

"This magisterial book...lays out the issues in exemplary fashion....The explanations of prospect theory and rank-dependent utility theories...are as clear as any I have read. They are well suited for an introductory graduate course in the field and for health professional in all fields....This book is as balanced and clear as one is likely to find. It is an outstanding introduction to and summary of the psychology of decision making and should be widely read." Medical Decision Making