Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is the Julius Silver Professor of Politics at New York University and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. A specialist in policy forecasting, political economy, and international security policy, he received his doctorate in political science from the University of Michigan. Bueno de Mesquita is the author of fifteen books and more than one hundred articles as well as numerous pieces in major newspapers and magazines. He has appeared on all the major networks as well as television broadcasts in Brazil, China, Korea, the Netherlands, and elsewhere. His previous book, The Strategy of Campaigning, was co-authored with Kiron Skinner, Serhiy Kudelia, and Condoleeza Rice. He lives in San Francisco and New York City.
“Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has demonstrated the power of using game
theory and related assumptions of rational and self-seeking
behavior in predicting the outcome of important political and legal
processes. No one will fail to appreciate and learn from this
well-written and always interesting account of his
procedures.”—Kenneth Arrow, Nobel Prize-winning economist;
Professor Emeritus, Stanford University
“The Predictioneer's Game teaches us that we can predict how a
conflict may be resolved if we carefully consider the incentives
for all parties in the conflict. In an extraordinary range of
applications, from ancient history to tomorrow's headlines, Bruce
Bueno de Mesquita demonstrates the power of the game-theoretic
approach.”—Roger B. Myerson, Nobel Prize-winning economist;
Professor, University of Chicago
“Organized thought applied to problems can illuminate and help
solve them. This easy and enjoyable read is, in many ways, a
how-to book for that very purpose.”—George P. Shultz, former U.S.
Secretary of State
"Shakespeare said that poetry was giving ‘to airy nothingness a
local habitation and a name.’ Game theory has never been airy
nothingness, but to those who through lack of exposure or (like me)
the wrong kind of exposure years ago may have had such thoughts,
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita follows Shakespeare's path and opens a new
world. In Bueno de Mesquita's hands, game theory becomes a
fascinating tool for understanding everything from how to steer the
selection of a CEO to great swaths of both the past and future.
Don't miss this one if you care about understanding how
decisions are made–pretty much all decisions."—R. James Woolsey,
former Director of Central Intelligence; Annenberg Distinguished
Visiting Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution
“Bueno de Mesquita has successfully turned the art of
decision-making into a science - and enriched our understanding of
politics and business in the process. Dispensing with clichés about
rationality and irrationality, he explains how to predict behavior
based on the relevant players’ interests and contexts. Bueno de
Mesquita says he does not have a crystal ball, but this book gives
readers the ingredients to build their own.”—Parag Khanna, author
of The Second World: How Emerging Powers are Redefining Global
Competition in the 21st Century
“Fruitful reading that will make it difficult to look at the world
through quite the same eyes as in one’s virginal, pre—game theory
days.”—Kirkus Reviews
“Provocative. . . . [this] cogently argued and fascinating brief
will appeal to anyone interested in complex national-security
issues.”—Publishers Weekly
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